Grain Markets Technical Analysis — August 12, 2025
Mixed board. Corn trades under a broken pivot, August beans hold a breakout, November beans compress beneath last week’s spike, and Chicago wheat trends lower beneath its pivot. Contract-by-contract levels and triggers are below.
Corn — ZCU25
Last on chart: 381-4. Price rejected the 385-4 pivot after the Aug 10 pop and is tracking the lower band.
- Resistance: 383-6 → 385-4 (failed pivot).
- Support: 381-0 → 380-0; next shelf ~378-0.
- Trigger: Reclaim/hold above 385-4 to neutralize; a break under 380-0 risks 378-0.
- Bias: Bearish while below 385-4.
Soybeans — ZSQ25 (August)
Last on chart: 990-6. Breakout holds above the former cap around 966-6, with price operating in the 988–992 area.
- Support: 986-0 / 984-0; deeper retest 972-0 → 966-6.
- Resistance: 992-0 → 994-0.
- Trigger: Hold ≥ 984-0 to keep the breakout structure; close back under 972-0 would negate it.
- Bias: Constructive while above 984-0.
Soybeans — ZSX25 (November)
Last on chart: 998-4. The Aug 10 run stalled near the orange band at 1,011-2. Price is compressing just below 1,000 with clear decision levels.
- Support: 998-0 → 996-0; below that 992-0.
- Resistance: 1,004-0 / 1,006-0 → key 1,011-2.
- Trigger: Close > 1,006 revives a run at 1,011-2; loss of 996 shifts risk to 992-0.
- Bias: Neutral while contained inside 996–1,006.
Chicago Wheat — ZWU25
Last on chart: 509-2. Repeated failure at the 515-0 pivot kept pressure on the tape; price is probing the 509–508 area.
- Resistance: 511-0 / 513-0 → 515-0.
- Support: 508-0 → 506-0; break opens ~503-0.
- Trigger: Only a sustained reclaim of 515-0 would blunt the downside.
- Bias: Bearish below 515-0.
Key Levels Summary
| Contract | Last (chart) | Support | Resistance | Bias / Trigger |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ZCU25 | 381-4 | 381-0 → 380-0 → 378-0 | 383-6 → 385-4 | Bearish under 385-4; reclaim to neutralize |
| ZSQ25 | 990-6 | 986-0 / 984-0 → 972-0 → 966-6 | 992-0 → 994-0 | Breakout intact while ≥ 984-0 |
| ZSX25 | 998-4 | 998-0 → 996-0 → 992-0 | 1,004-0 / 1,006-0 → 1,011-2 | Neutral in 996–1,006; break decides |
| ZWU25 | 509-2 | 508-0 → 506-0 → ~503-0 | 511-0 / 513-0 → 515-0 | Bearish under 515-0; reclaim to blunt |
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